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06/21/2010 - Wimbledon, England (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Six-time champion Roger Federer was on the ropes but managed to avoid an opening-round shocker against game Colombian Alejandro Falla at Wimbledon. Last year's runner-up Andy Roddick joined Federer in the second round on Monday.
The 60th-ranked Falla stunned Federer by winning the first two sets on Day 1 and served for the match in the fourth set, but the super Swiss staved off his Colombian counterpart to record a gutsy 5-7, 4-6, 6-4, 7-6 (7-1), 6-0 victory on the famed Centre Court at the storied All England Club.
The reigning Wimbledon and Australian Open champion Federer found a way to win on a day where he clearly was not at his best. He avoided losing in the first round here for the first time in eight years.
"I live another day," Federer said. "This one is one I should have lost. That's sometimes how grass-court tennis works."
The lefthanded Falla played the match of his life on Monday, which included the unlikely two-sets-to-none lead.
The 26-year-old Colombian played some brilliant baseline tennis for the first four sets. He broke the mighty Federer with a backhand volley in the first set to grab a 6-5 lead, and then held serve to capture the opening stanza.
In the second set, the surprising Falla recorded another huge break when the world No. 2 Federer netted a forehand on his way to a 3-4 deficit. Falla consolidated the break on his way to a stunning 6-4 set victory. Federer saved a pair of set points, at 4-5 in the second, but Falla ultimately prevailed on a fourth set point with a quality forehand volley winner.
After going up by two sets, Falla summoned a trainer to work on his left leg, which required treatment on a couple of occasions in the opening-day duel.
In the third set, Falla had chance to break for a 5-4 lead, but the Swiss great, down love-40 at one point, wound up saving four break points to assume a 5-4 lead. Federer then broke Falla to win the third set, which he did with a much-needed forehand winner.
In the fourth set, Falla broke for a 1-0 lead, but Federer held tough and would get the break back nine games later to pull even at 5-all. Falla was serving for the match, leading at 5-4.
The 16-time major champion Federer managed to force a fourth-set tiebreak, which he won easily, and then dominated the fifth set at love to breath a sigh of relief. The Basel native wound up winning 10 of the last 11 games.
This marked Federer's sixth career win after falling behind two-sets-to-love.
"He played great," Federer said. "He was the one who put me in that kind of a score. I thought I was actually playing decent. Credit to him."
Federer, who tallied seven double faults on Monday, needed 3 hours, 18 minutes to advance, which he did with the help of 21 aces and five service breaks. Falla settled for three breaks in the round-of-128 tussle.
The 28-year-old Federer is now 3-0 versus Falla this season, including a second-round victory at the French Open.
Federer improved to 52-5 lifetime at Wimbledon.
The top-seeded Federer has appeared in the last seven finals here, winning six of them. He beat Roddick in last year's memorable finale, which featured a grueling 30-game fifth set. With the win last year, Federer became the men's all-time leader with a 15th major title.
Federer's second-round opponent on Wednesday will be Serbian Ilia Bozoljac.
The fifth-seeded Roddick cruised past fellow American Rajeev Ram 6-3, 6-2, 6-2. The former world No. 1 and former U.S. Open champion Roddick lost to Federer in three of the last six finals here.
Roddick fired 13 aces at Ram, who failed to enjoy even one break-point chance against his fellow countryman.
The 27-year-old Roddick's second-round opponent will be last week's Eastbourne grass-court titlist Michael Llodra of France.
Seventh-seeded Russian Nikolay Davydenko, like Federer, was also in survival mode on Day 1, as the speedy star came from way behind to outlast big-serving South African Kevin Anderson 3-6, 6-7 (3-7), 7-6 (7-3), 7-5, 9-7. The gritty Davydenko needed 4 hours, 13 minutes to advance, and withstood 36 aces from the 6-foot-8 Anderson.
Davydenko is still on the mend after suffering a broken wrist earlier this season. The Russian, who typically struggles on grass, has never gotten past the fourth round at Wimbledon.
In other action involving top-16 seeds, German Florian Mayer toppled No. 11 Marin Cilic 6-2, 6-4, 7-6 (7-1), No. 12 Czech Tomas Berdych blitzed Kazakhstan's Andrey Golubev 7-6 (7-5), 6-2, 6-2 and No. 16 Austrian Jurgen Melzer topped Jamaican Dustin Brown 6-3, 4-6, 6-2, 6-3. The Croatian Cilic was an Aussie Open semifinalist back in January. Melzer reached the French Open semis earlier this month.
Mild upsets came when Poland's Michal Przysiezny took out 17th-seeded Croat Ivan Ljubicic 7-5, 7-6 (7-5), 6-3, Uzbekistan's Denis Istomin dismissed 20th- seeded Swiss Stanislas Wawrinka 6-7 (5-7), 6-1, 2-6, 7-6 (7-4) 6-3 and Aussie Peter Luczak overcame 30th-seeded Spaniard Tommy Robredo 2-6, 7-6 (7-3), 6-2, 7-5. The former top-five star Ljubicic has never advanced beyond the third round here.
Other seeded Day-1 winners were No. 21 Frenchman Gael Monfils, No. 22 Spaniard Feliciano Lopez, No. 28 Spaniard Albert Montanes and No. 31 Romanian Victor Hanescu. Lopez dismissed American Jesse Levine in four sets.
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<< New York Knicks 2010 Draft Preview
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Jankovic, Clijsters, Henin win; Schiavone exits Wimbledon >>
Wimbledon, England (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Former world No. 1s Jelena Jankovic,
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Orlando Magic 2010 Draft Preview >>
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Las Vegas Sports Consultants (LVSC) is the world’s premier oddsmaking company and the most respected authority on making the lines. Mike Seba is a Senior Oddsmaker at LVSC and has been making lines for the last six years. In our extended interview, Seba explained that there are 4-5 oddsmakers assigned to make lines for each of the major sports (pro & college football and basketball; MLB, NHL, boxing, golf). Each of these oddsmakers bring unique opinions, strengths and weaknesses to the process. Oddsmakers at LVSC are professional sports junkies who love what they do and would probably do it for nothing if you asked them, but they do get paid for it. By necessity their approach is very research-oriented and concise, since with millions of dollars at risk there is little margin for error.
“You either have a passion for it or you don’t,” Seba said.
“The #1 thing for us is to make a line for each game that creates good two-way action. We do this by drawing from past experiences and applying them to current situations. People think it’s much more complicated, but it’s not. “Divided action means the sportsbook is guaranteed a profit on the game because of the fee charged to the bettor (called juice or vig – typically $11 bet to win $10).
Power ratings are the oddsmaker’s value of each team and are used as a guide to calculate a "preliminary" pointspread on an upcoming game. The power ratings are adjusted after each game a team plays. Examples of non-game factors that would require an adjustment to a team's power rating are key player injuries and player trades.
Once a game’s power rating based pointspread is determined, the oddsmaker will make adjustments to that line after considering each team's most recent games played and previous games played against that opponent. Also, adjustments are made after reading each team’s local newspapers to get a sense of what the coaches & players are thinking going into the game.Since the oddsmaker’s ultimate goal is equally dividing the sports betting action, public perception and sportsbook betting patterns must be taken into account. For example, the public might have heavy betting interest week after week on a popular college football betting team such as USC. If an oddsmaker comes up with a preliminary line of USC -7, then an adjustment up to -7.5 or -8 would be made in response to the public’s expected USC bias.
The last step in the line-making process for each oddsmaker is taking one final look to determine whether or not the line "feels right." This is where common sense and past experience with how games are bet enters into the picture.A round-table discussion among the 4-5 oddsmakers involved in making the line for each sport is then conducted and a consensus line is decided upon by the Odds Director before it is released to the sportsbooks. Of the 4-5 oddsmakers, generally the 2 most respected opinions are weighed more heavily by the Odds Director before he decides on the final line.
Experts working for the individual books having a strong opinion on the game
Individual books having players who consistently bet with certain tendencies (such as an extreme bias toward favorites or toward a certain popular team like USC)The purpose of these adjustments, like all line adjustments, is to more equally divide the betting action.
Once betting begins, sportsbooks can adjust the line at any time. In doing so they attempt to make more attractive the team that is getting less action. By moving the line, sportsbooks can influence how the public bets on a particular game.For example, if the pointspread on a game is 7 and most of the money is coming in on the underdog (taking the +7), sportsbooks will then move the number down to 6 ½ to try and attract money on the favorite.
Moving the line is the oddsmaker's effort to balance betting action, and often times such moves can have a major impact on a bettor’s decision. Oddsmakers can also change the line depending on various event-related factors such as player injuries or weather. Obviously, if the line comes out a week ahead of the event (which is the case in football), there is much that could happen during the week leading up to the event that could affect the line. Oddsmakers have to determine if any changes are necessary and send out an "adjusted line."“The main objective is that our clients get equal action on both sides,” Seba said. “We’re not trying to pick the team that covers the spread, we’re trying to make it a coin flip, a tough decision (for the bettor). If we’ve done that, we’ve done our job.”
To visit this internet sportsbook got to MySportsbook.com for all your sports betting needs and World Series odds.
Mayweather picked to beat De La Hoya
LAS VEGAS, NEVADA -- Golden Boy Oscar De La Hoya and his rival Floyd Mayweather Jr. arrived at the MGM Grand here Wednesday amid the pomp and pandemonium befitting two of the biggest stars in the sport who are about to duke it out for the WBC super welterweight crown this Saturday (Sunday in Manila).
As of Wednesday, MySportsbook.com closed its book with Mayweather a favorite to defeat De La Hoya at -170 (a $100 bet wins $70), while De La Hoya is a +140 underdog (a $100 bet wins $140).
Mayweather arrived at about 11:30 a.m. on a big truck with his face and a big "World's Best Pound-for-Pound" sign scribbled across the vehicle. He was accompanied by his entourage made up of rappers and his training team.
A crowd of close to 3,000 eager fans packed the MGM Grand lobby, with their cameras in tow, all trying to vie for position to get a good angle at Mayweather, who is acknowledged as the world's best fighter pound-for-pound.
Eric Gomez, Golden Boy Promotions vice-president, described the fan turnout as "amazing" and swore he had never seen anything quite like this event.
"The crowd was fantastic. Everybody was just too eager to see the two fighters," said ALA manager Michael Aldeguer, who was among those who waited at the lobby together with his ward Rey "Boom Boom" Bautista and AJ Banal.
De La Hoya made his own grand entrance at the hotel lobby at around 12:30 p.m. accompanied by GBP chief executive officer Richard Schaefer and trainer Freddie Roach.
The same group of fans who trooped to see Mayweather also lingered around to get a close look at De La Hoya, who has been secretly working out at a Las Vegas gym for days after arriving from his main training camp in Puerto Rico.
The golden boy then took part in a closed-door afternoon workout with Bautista and Banal. The two, along with Aldeguer and wife Christine, as well as an HBO crew were the only ones allowed inside the gym.
De La Hoya and Mayweather take part in today's final press conference before the official weigh-in this Friday.
Ring Magazine, the acknowledged bible of boxing, reported in its June 2007 issue that 12 out of 20 boxing experts it interviewed have favored Mayweather to defeat De la Hoya, with only 8 favoring the latter.
But Filipino ring icon Manny Pacquiao said in a recent interview with The Freeman's Emmanuel Villaruel that De La Hoya will win by unanimous decision over Mayweather.
To visit this online sportsbook got to MySportsbook.com for all your bet on boxing needs.
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