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08/26/2010 - (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - If the Oakland Raiders still have the gall to refer to their organization as the "Team of the Decades," they had better clarify which decades they mean exactly.
In the first three of the 10 years comprising the just-passed decade, the Silver and Black were a playoff group and even appeared in a Super Bowl. In the next seven, with apologies to the Detroit Lions, the Raiders were the "Joke of the Decade."
The first team in NFL history to lose 11 or more games for seven consecutive seasons, Oakland is a miserable 29-83 (.259) since 2003.
They've had five different coaches over that stretch, a number of doomed quarterback experiments, and at least one low-level assistant nursing a broken jaw.
Once-revered team owner Al Davis is 81, and having increasing trouble distancing himself from the perception that he's lost his grip on what it takes to build a successful NFL team in our post-millennium world.
Yet Davis and Raiders fans both have hope that the dark age for this organization will end in 2010, and that the seven-year itch will be scratched with some consistent winning.
"We thought that the decade of the 2000s would be ours, but boy we slipped," Davis told Sirius NFL Radio earlier this month. "We slumped. And now we come into the year 2010 and I really liken this team a great deal to the team of 1980 in which the great Jim Plunkett pulled us out of the doldrums, took us to the Super Bowl as a wild card and we had so many great players who eventually made their way into the Hall of Fame."
Much of Davis' enthusiasm has to do with the team's latest QB reclamation project, ex-Redskins starter Jason Campbell, who will help the team turn the page from the bleak three-season tenure of former No. 1 overall pick JaMarcus Russell. Though Campbell is only 20-32 as an NFL starter and never lived up to his first-round billing either, the owner is making him the symbol of the franchise's attempt to rise from the ashes.
"I really predict great things for him," Davis told Sirius, adding that he sees Campbell as "a football player like I saw Jim Plunkett. He has everything. He was 13-0 in college at Auburn. He can throw up the field, he can run, he's big, he's smart."
Of course, Campbell won't be able to move this team up the AFC West ladder himself. The Raiders have other potential trouble areas, from a thin offensive line to a nondescript receiving corps to a defensive front seven that must improve its long-standing rank as one of the worst run-stopping teams in the NFL.
Still, Davis isn't alone in thinking the Raiders - who beat the playoff-bound Bengals and won at Pittsburgh and Denver over the second half of last year - are as close to being relevant as they've been in some time.
"I think we have our stamp on this team," said Davis. "It's our personnel, it's our picks, it's our want to be great once again, to join the ranks of the elite and get back that number-one rating in terms of wins and losses since we've come into the league. "
Below we take a capsule look at the 2010 edition of the Oakland Raiders, with a personnel evaluation and prognosis included therein:
2009 RECORD: 5-11 (3rd, AFC West)
LAST PLAYOFF APPEARANCE: 2002, lost to Tampa Bay, 48-21, in Super Bowl
COACH (RECORD): Tom Cable (9-19 in two seasons with Raiders, 9-19 overall)
OFFENSIVE COORDINATOR: Cable
DEFENSIVE COORDINATOR: John Marshall
OFFENSIVE STAR: Jason Campbell, QB (3618 passing yards, 20 TD, 15 INT with Washington)
DEFENSIVE STAR: Nnamdi Asomugha, CB (34 tackles, 1 INT)
OFFENSIVE TEAM RANKS: 21st rushing, 29th passing, 31st scoring
DEFENSIVE TEAM RANKS: 29th rushing, 7th passing, 23rd scoring
KEY ADDITIONS: QB Jason Campbell (from Redskins), QB Kyle Boller (from Rams), RB Rock Cartwright (from Redskins), RB Michael Bennett (from Chargers), TE John Owens (from Seahawks), T Bruce Campbell (4th Round, Maryland), OL Daniel Loper (from Lions), OL Jared Veldheer (3rd Round, Hillsdale (Mich.)), DT John Henderson (from Jaguars), DE Quentin Groves (from Jaguars), DL Lamarr Houston (2nd Round, Texas), DL Chris Cooper (free agent), LB Kamerion Wimbley (from Browns), LB Rolando McClain (1st Round, Alabama)
KEY DEPARTURES: QB JaMarcus Russell (released), QB J.P. Losman (to Seahawks), RB Justin Fargas (to Broncos), RB Gary Russell (not tendered), WR Javon Walker (to Vikings), T Cornell Green (to Bills), LB Kirk Morrison (to Jaguars), LB Jon Alston (to Buccaneers), DE Greg Ellis (released), DT Gerard Warren (to Patriots)
QB: While Campbell must look like Johnny Unitas to Raiders fans when compared with Russell, fans would be wise to temper their enthusiasm about him just a bit. Though he has high-end physical skills and is twice the leader that Russell was, the former first-rounder was oft-criticized in Washington for his aversion to taking chances down the field. Given Davis' preference for a vertical, big-strike offense, that's an allergy that Campbell is going to want cured. The rest of the depth chart is interesting, as Bruce Gradkowski (1007 passing yards, 6 TD, 3 INT) seemed to be in line for the No. 2 job after playing well late in 2009, but ex-Raven and Ram Kyle Boller (899 passing yards, 3 TD, 6 INT with the Rams) inserted himself into the mix with a strong preseason coupled with Gradkowski's injury struggles. It seems unlikely that the team would keep two veteran QBs as backups, but stranger things have happened around this franchise. Ex-Redskin Colt Brennan seems like a long shot to stick at this point.
RB: While Campbell is going to be under great scrutiny, it will also be worth keeping an eye on a running back group that has underachieved in recent years. Darren McFadden (357 rushing yards, 1 TD, 21 receptions) has yet to live up to his top-five billing amid myriad injuries, and the former Arkansas star has been bypassed on the depth chart by the bigger and more durable Michael Bush (589 rushing yards, 3 TD, 17 receptions). The Raiders will look for contributions from both players, but Bush is likely to be the first man in. Oakland brought in another former Redskin, Rock Cartwright (228 rushing yards, 27 receptions, 1 TD with Washington), mainly to handle kickoff returns. His presence on the roster makes journeyman Michael Bennett's (65 rushing yards with the Chargers) status tenuous. At fullback, Luke Lawton (7 receptions) has been a generally reliable player over the past couple of seasons, but will be unavailable until Week 3 due to a steroid suspension and was hampered by concussions in the preseason. Those situations could open the door for second- year man Marcel Reece (2 receptions) to serve in the role.
WR/TE: The makeup of the Raiders' receiving corps has long been a chicken-or- egg argument. Were Oakland's wideouts unproductive because they lacked talent and/or skill, or did they struggle due to the lack of a capable quarterback to get them the ball? Clearly, the Silver and Black are banking on the latter, because there are few new faces here. All eyes will be on former first-rounder Darrius Heyward-Bey (9 receptions, 1 TD), who had a terrible rookie season and was outplayed by guys like Louis Murphy (34 receptions, 4 TD) and Chaz Schilens (29 receptions, 2 TD). Murphy and Schilens are still in the mix, though Schilens had knee surgery during the preseason and might not be ready for Week 1. That will afford an opportunity to someone like Todd Watkins (8 receptions), Johnnie Lee Higgins (19 receptions), or speedy rookie fourth- rounder Jacoby Ford (Clemson). The team's most reliable target, tight end Zach Miller (66 receptions, 3 TD), will again be in the lineup, and Brandon Myers (4 receptions) and Tony Stewart (10 receptions) again appear set to back him.
OL: Whatever strides the Raiders might make at quarterback and/or wide receiver will be rendered moot if this group can't protect Campbell and make holes for the running backs. The bad news is that there's not an elite-level lineman on this group, the good is that 80 percent of the line is expected to remain intact. On the left side, tackle Mario Henderson is adequate and guard Robert Gallery - who missed 10 games last year with a back problem - has become a reliable piece when healthy. Henderson and right guard Cooper Carlisle were the only Oakland o-lineman to start every game a year ago. The trouble spots are at center, where neither Samson Satele nor Chris Morris is any great shakes. Though Satele will probably be the guy on opening day, there's a chance the team could try third-round project Jared Veldheer there. Then there's right tackle, where prodigal son Langston Walker is not really a long-term answer. The team would probably like to see Bruce Campbell (Maryland), a fourth-round pick who some thought would go much earlier, emerge as a viable candidate at the position.
DL: Though his presence didn't translate to a win increase, Richard Seymour (47 tackles, 4 sacks) gave the Oakland defense an immediate blast of credibility when the Patriots shockingly dealt him to the Bay Area on the eve of the 2009 season. The group around Seymour, who plays inside in Oakland's base 4-3 look, has been enhanced as well. Second-round draft pick Lamarr Houston (Texas) has the versatility to play inside or outside, and ex-Jaguars tackle John Henderson (36 tackles, 3 sacks with Jacksonville) has Pro Bowl citations on his resume'. Big-money tackle Tommy Kelly (54 tackles, 1 sack) is still hanging around as well, and ends Matt Shaughnessy (29 tackles, 4 sacks) and Jay Richardson (23 tackles, 3 sacks) are decent edge rushers who each appeared in all 16 games a year ago.
LB: Raiders fans should be highly encouraged at how the Raiders upgraded the linebacking corps in the offseason. From a pass-rushing standpoint, Oakland dealt for Kamerion Wimbley (68 tackles, 6.5 sacks with Cleveland), who along with Trevor Scott (38 tackles, 7 sacks) should be able to make up for the production that departed when the team failed to re-sign Greg Ellis. On the inside, first-round pick Rolando McClain (Alabama) is a major upgrade over Kirk Morrison, who is now with the Jaguars. McClain's size alone gives Oakland more of a dimension in the run-stopping game. The Raiders have decent depth at LB as well, as Thomas Howard (79 tackles, 2 sacks) and Ricky Brown (30 tackles) both have starting experience and Quentin Groves (28 tackles, 1 INT with the Jaguars) is an occasionally active pass-rusher.
DB: Give a lot of credit to the Raiders secondary, which has done a nice job over the past few seasons with very little in the way of consistent help from the front seven. With a better group playing in front of them, the secondary might finally be recognized as one of the best in the league. At corner, Nnamdi Asomugha is acknowledged as elite, and Chris Johnson (67 tackles, 3 INT) has converted himself from a marginal NFL player to an above-average NFL corner. Stanford Routt (28 tackles, 1 sack) is still in the mix at CB as well, and seventh-round pick Stevie Brown (Michigan) has opened some eyes with a good camp. At strong safety, Tyvon Branch (119 tackles, 1 sack) was a 16-game starter and isn't going anywhere. The unending competition between Michael Huff (55 tackles, 3 INT) and Hiram Eugene (33 tackles, 1 INT) at free safety might not subside anytime soon. Both players have their moments, but neither has been consistent. Many pundits laughed when the Raiders reached for safety Mike Mitchell (13 tackles, 1.5 sacks) in the second round last year, but Mitchell was on the field for all 16 games in 2010 and actually looks to be developing into a decent player.
SPECIAL TEAMS: As usual, the Raiders have very little to worry about in the kicking game. Punter Shane Lechler made his third straight Pro Bowl (and fifth overall) after posting the second-best single-season punting average (51.1 avg.) in NFL history, while kicker Sebastian Janikowski (26-29 FG) was a Pro Bowl snub. Cartwright (22.3 kickoff return avg. with Washington), who has 222 kickoff returns since breaking into the league in 2002, was brought in to handle those duties in Oakland. Higgins (5.2 punt return avg.) is just two years removed from a three-touchdown year as punt returner, and will get the first crack there this year. Rookie Jacoby Ford has a chance to be in the mix as well. Jon Condo, who played in the Pro Bowl last year, begins his third year as the Raiders' long-snapper.
PROGNOSIS: Though many Raiders fans are as optimistic as the team's owner about the prospects for a renaissance this year, the jettisoning of JaMarcus Russell was hardly a cure-all. Campbell is a better quarterback but is unproven in his own right, and playing with a new supporting cast, to include a highly suspect offensive line, is not necessarily going to allow him to deliver on his promise. Things figure to be better defensively, and if that group can keep the Raiders in some games, and Campbell and the offense develop some early chemistry and have good luck with injuries, there's a chance this team can enter December with something to play for. That might not sound like a return to glory, but after the past seven years, it has to be worth something.
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BILLS (+10) at Steelers SPORTSBOOK LINES
It's impossible to gauge how a team will react after something like the Steve Everett situation, and it probably doesn't matter. That being said, the Bills are going to lose several games this year where they keep things close but fall short in the end to superior teams. Ben Roethlisberger and company could have a field day against Buffalo's decimated defense, but I like the Bills to cover.
BENGALS (-7) at Browns SPORTSBOOK LINES
All you can ask out of your NFL team is that it has a plan. You may not always agree with it as a fan, but as long as it appears the organization is going in some sort of direction, you have to go with it. Which brings us to the Cleveland Browns. You flip a coin to determine whether Chuck Frye or Derek Anderson should start the preseason opener. You start Frye in Week 1, but pull him in the first half. And then you deal him to the Seahawks for a sixth-round pick? Hmm... the Bengals could get six turnovers again this week.
COLTS (-7) at Titans SPORTSBOOK LINES
Tennessee signed ex-Colts cornerback Nick Harper in the offseason so that should help slow down Peyton Manning. Just ask Jason David and the Saints. Oh wait... One of these weeks, I'm going to learn to not pick against Tennessee, which has won seven of its last eight games. But it's not happening against Indy.
TEXANS (+6.5) at Panthers SPORTSBOOK LINES
Houston's Mario Williams, the first pick in the '06 draft, has more touchdowns than Reggie Bush after one week. Somehow I don't see that lasting. Meanwhile, Carolina bottled up what was expected to be a pretty high-octane offense in St. Louis in Week 1. Could this be the Panthers' defense everyone expected last year? Maybe. This feels like a 20-16 Carolina win.
RAMS (-3) vs. 49ers SPORTSBOOKS LINES
Absolutely love this game. Everyone's favorite pick for this year's surprise team -- the 49ers -- laid an egg on Monday night (not that anyone was watching with the game ending in the middle of the night for those of us on the East Coast). St. Louis wasn't much better, delivering a lackluster effort against the Panthers that included two Steven Jackson fumbles and panic from his fantasy owners. Jackson rebounds this week, and the Rams get their first win.
PACKERS (+1.5) at Giants SPORTSBOOKS LINES
Do you really trust this guy to win an NFL game if Eli Manning can't go? I say no. I'd feel alot better about this Packers team if it had any semblance of a running game, but I still think Green Bay's defense is good enough to give it a 2-0 start.
JAGUARS (-10) vs. Falcons SPORTSBOOKS LINES
Does it scare me to pick Jacksonville to cover a double-digit spread after it scored just 10 points last week against the Titans? Absolutely. But can I bring myself to pick Atlanta under any circumstances? No. Check out this poll on ajc.com. It asks what Atlanta's most urgent deficiency is: offense, defense, specials teams or all of the above. "All of the above" has 57 percent of the votes. Ouch.
SAINTS (-3) at Buccaneers SPORTSBOOKS LINES
I'm picking way too many road teams this week. Oh well. New Orleans has had some time to reflect on its lackluster showing in the opener, and the Buccanneers just aren't a very good football team. Anyone else surprised Tampa Bay hasn't made a move to sign Byron Leftwich? I thought that's what they do.
VIKINGS (+3) at Lions SPORTS BETTING LINES
Run the ball and stop the run. Minnesota can do both, and that will keep them in a lot of games this season. Even though it was only one week, Adrian Peterson looks like he was a steal at No. 7 in last year's draft. Not only will he produce, but Peterson delivers excitement to what otherwise would be one of the league's most boring teams.
DOLPHINS (+3.5) vs. Cowboys SPORTS BETTING LINES
Lost in the Tony Romo lovefest is just how bad the Cowboys' defense was last week. I know they're banged up, but Dallas' 'D' allowed 438 yards to the Giants' offense, and backup running back Derrick Ward averaged 6.8 yards per carry. Meanwhile, Cam Cameron's decision to split carries between Ronnie Brown and Jesse Chatman sounds about as can't-miss as Larry David's plan to show up to Marty Funkhouser's party a night late. Still, gotta go with Miami to cover at home.
SEAHAWKS (-2.5) at Cardinals SPORTS BETTING LINES
I'm probably missing something, but this game seems too easy. Arizona blew Monday night's game against the 49ers in typical Cardinals fashion, and the Seahawks beat Tampa Bay by two touchdowns. Love Seattle in this one.
BRONCOS (-9.5) vs. Raiders SPORTS BETTING LINES
Special teams was a major story line in Week 1. Take a look at the Broncos. They had to rush on to the field to get a Jason Elam field goal as time expired against the Bills. Denver drove into Buffalo territory on eight of 10 drives but came away with just a pair of field goals and a touchdown. Look for more scoring from the Broncos this week against an Oakland defense that gave up 36 points to Detroit in Week 1.
BEARS (-12) vs. Chiefs SPORTS BETTING LINES
Everyone talks about Rex Grossman when dissecting the Bears' offense, but Chicago's quarterback got no help in last week's loss to the Chargers. Meanwhile, Kansas City confirmed what we all thought while watching Hard Knocks: The Chiefs are going to stink this year. It could be a rough first month for Larry Johnson fantasy owners. Kansas City's RB was limited to 43 yards on 10 carries in Week 1, and the Chiefs face the Bears, Vikings and Chargers the next three weeks, all formidable run defenses.
RAVENS (-10) vs. Jets SPORTS BETTING LINES
A big dose of Willis McGahee and a usual sound defensive effort will give the Ravens their first win. According to Football Outsiders, no team in the NFL rushed only three defenders on pass plays last year more than the Jets. And according to my special Jets correspondent Ben Stauber, New York did the same in Week 1. Whoever starts at quarterback for the Ravens should have all day to throw.
PATRIOTS (-3) vs. Chargers
Friends and I were discussing how Bill Belichick goes about paying his $500,000 fine for cheating. Does he just write one check to the NFL? Do you need some sort of clearance to make such a monstrous financial transaction? I guess I shouldn't complain about the security deposit I have to put down on my new apartment. Anyway, two of the league's best teams square off in what should be a good one Sunday night. The Patriots always respond well just when you think they're in trouble. And their offensive attack was the story in Week 1.
Note: Monday night game will be picked Monday. Lines used are from football betting.
It’s time to see how the biggest NFL free agent signings will perform for their news teams. Some will work out and could be the difference that makes a difference in the win column.
We look at the best off-season signings and if they should influence your NFL betting this season. Julius Peppers – Peppers was the biggest prize available on the 2010 NFL free agent market and the Chicago Bears opened the bank to bring his talents to the south side.
Peppers is explosive, he can get around blockers and cause quarterbacks to lose their minds. We all remember the classic Peppers game last year against the Vikings where he hounded Brett Favre into his worst game of the season. Peppers joining the Bears could be the reason Favre retired for good Tuesday morning. In addition to Peppers, the Bears added Chester Taylor to back up Matt Forte, Forte didn’t have the same intensity in 2009 compared to 2008 and bringing in Taylor will challenge Forte to bring it every game or he’ll risk losing carries to Taylor.
Betting on the Bears is a good option this season because of Julius Peppers and to a lesser extent Taylor. Antonio Bryant and Terrell Owens – The Cincinnati Bengals signed two former number one wide receivers to line up with Chad Ocho Cinco. Antonio Bryant had a huge season in 2008 catching 83 passes for over 1200 yards but regressed last season. Playing for the Tampa Bay Bucs last season was a large part of the regression, everyone was bad in TB last season.
Bryant should have a bounce back season if he can win the number two spot from Terrell Owens. If Bryant wins the number 2 WR spot, it will open up a completely new set of problems for the Bengals. If Owens is forced to the bench in favor of Bryant, his attitude will create trouble for Carson Palmer and head coach Marv Lewis. If Owens is the number two receiver, it means Bryant can’t live up to his past numbers and the Bengals are still limited in the passing game. NFL bettors should be wary of laying their money down on what could potentially be the biggest gong show in the league in 2010. 2010 football betting lines for this can be found at this top online sportsbook. Karlos Danby – The Miami Dolphins have a great running back tandem in Ricky Williams and Ronnie Brown, a good young QB in Chad Henne and now the Bill Parcells regime is building a solid defense.
NFL bettors should be wary of laying their money down on what could potentially be the biggest gong show in the league in 2010. Karlos Danby – The Miami Dolphins have a great running back tandem in Ricky Williams and Ronnie Brown, a good young QB in Chad Henne and now the Bill Parcells regime is building a solid defense. They signed away the Arizona Cardinals top linebacker Karlos Danby. In the past two seasons, Danby has totaled 228 tackles, 5 sacks, 3 interceptions and 3 forced fumbles. The Dolphins are the forgotten team of the AFC East with the second longest odds to win the division but with the addition of Karlos Danby and a trade for WR Brandon Marshall makes the Miami Dolphins legitimate contenders in the AFC East and in the NFL’s Eastern Conference.
The Dolphins will make NFL wagering fans a lot of money this season, get in early and enjoy the cash.
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